1. How to read the moving average
◆ What is a moving average (MA)?
The moving average itself was widely used in statistical analysis, etc., but it became known that it could be used for analysis of listed stocks as it was summarized as Granville's Law by J. E. Granville of the United States. The moving average is calculated from the average value of stock prices over a certain period in the past. The 5day moving average is the average of the closing prices of stocks for the past 5 days, which is displayed as a dot every day and is continuously displayed as a line. It is the most basic indicator of technical analysis and is used by many investors.
◆ Moving Average (MA)
If you look at the chart above, you can see 5 lines of moving averages for each section.
Among the three colors above, yellow is the 30day average, the average price of purchases for 30 days, blue is the average price of purchases for 15 days, and orange is the average price of purchases for 5 days. Then, the stock price (chart bar) is formed above the 20day moving average. Then, to interpret this, those who bought for 30 days can see that they have entered the profit zone.
In this way, investors use the flow of the moving average to set buying and selling points. However, the technique of trading with the moving average is that it is a trailing line just like other auxiliary indicators. The truth is that there are clear limits.
◆ How to find a moving average
To find the 5day moving average, add the 5day moving average and divide by 5 to get (1000+1020+1050+1020+1100)/5 = 1038. 'It will be
◆ Property of moving average (moving average)
This is a general property, not an absolute property. If you think of it as a casino game, you can understand it as a concept similar to tightrope walking, a painting, and a little girl.
1. A moving average continuously repeats convergence and diffusion to form a trend.
In simple terms, this is the property that the shortterm, mediumterm, and longterm moving averages cluster once, then spread again, and then cluster again.
2. The role of resistance and support is strong through the learning effect.
We speak of psychological support, resistance, etc. For example, there is a lot of rebound at the 5th moving average and a lot of resistance at the 10th, so we cannot ignore the past resistance and support history. After all, buying and selling of virtual currency is money, but investors who trade are people, so it is a fairly reliable way to take advantage of past learning effects.
3. When the longterm and shortterm moving averages converge and spread, a strong trend is formed.
Simply put, once the shortterm and longterm moving averages meet, it means that there are often strong uptrends or strong downtrends.
Next, it is a term to recognize as a moving average line.
◆ Golden Cross
A golden cross is a figure in which the shortterm moving average crosses the longterm moving average, which is seen as a bullish reversal signal. The blue above is the longterm moving average, and the red is the shortterm moving average. If the shortterm moving average is higher than the longterm, it means that the recent market is in an uptrend.
◆ Dead Cross
This is a sign of a bearish reversal as the shortterm moving average crosses the longterm moving average.
The upper figure of the above figure is a figure in which the shortterm moving average crosses the longterm moving average and becomes a dead cross. We see this as a sign of strengthening the uptrend. This is 'reinforcement'. It means that the strength of the bull market that has been continued before is stronger.
The figure below shows the shortterm moving average trying to break through the longterm moving average and then pulling it back down. It means that the power that has been falling before is getting stronger.
When the above moving average is drawn, the bar chart will look like the one below.
The last is forward and inverse diffusion.
◆ Forward Diffusion & Inverse Diffusion
The previous moving average said that densification and diffusion repeat. When an uptrend is strong in the shortterm and mediumterm, the above regular diffusion moving average figure appears. Conversely, an inverse diffusion picture is likely to continue its downtrend going forward.
In inverse diffusion, it descends in a dense section, and most of the shortterm moving averages are characterized by a deadcrossing of the mediumterm and longterm moving averages sequentially.
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